While Shai does have high usage rate, his iso driving style does differ a bit from the heliocentrism of guys like Harden and Luka who abuse pick and roll matchups. I wonder what the graph would look like using Offensive Load vs usage. Haliburton might also rank much higher, as he is sort of an unorthodox player in terms of taking shots.
I'm not sure I buy that predictive power methodology. There's a few things about it that don't sit right, but a big one is that winning percentage needs to be untangled from seeding.
E.g., team A has 54 wins and a +4.5 net rating and team B has 50 wins and a +5.0 net rating. Even if net rating was a perfect measure of skill and team B truly was +0.5 points per 100 better on average, we should still predict team A will win the series simply because they have home court advantage.
In a sense your W% is more "predictive", but I always interpreted the spirit of the question differently.
Like if you ranked teams based on their total number of steals across the season, it probably wouldn't be very predictive. But if homecourt was given to the team that had more steals across the season, it would become slightly *more* predictive. That doesn't mean it suddenly became a better measure of how good a team is.
"some coaches to use tactics that don’t actually make their teams better, just better-looking." Made me think of college football
While Shai does have high usage rate, his iso driving style does differ a bit from the heliocentrism of guys like Harden and Luka who abuse pick and roll matchups. I wonder what the graph would look like using Offensive Load vs usage. Haliburton might also rank much higher, as he is sort of an unorthodox player in terms of taking shots.
I'm not sure I buy that predictive power methodology. There's a few things about it that don't sit right, but a big one is that winning percentage needs to be untangled from seeding.
E.g., team A has 54 wins and a +4.5 net rating and team B has 50 wins and a +5.0 net rating. Even if net rating was a perfect measure of skill and team B truly was +0.5 points per 100 better on average, we should still predict team A will win the series simply because they have home court advantage.
In a sense your W% is more "predictive", but I always interpreted the spirit of the question differently.
Like if you ranked teams based on their total number of steals across the season, it probably wouldn't be very predictive. But if homecourt was given to the team that had more steals across the season, it would become slightly *more* predictive. That doesn't mean it suddenly became a better measure of how good a team is.